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The new Trump administration is prioritizing mass deportations and potential trade wars, raising concerns about inflation as bond traders adjust their expectations. Despite these risks, the S&P 500 Index continues to set records, with the Russell 2000 Index showing remarkable growth, indicating a bullish market sentiment. The Cboe Volatility Index reflects a calm among traders, suggesting confidence in the current economic climate.
In 2024, stock volatility has reached its lowest levels in five years, with the Cboe Volatility Index averaging 15.5 points, reminiscent of pre-Covid calm. Despite global tensions, the S&P 500 Index has surged over 25%, achieving 51 all-time highs, while equity markets worldwide have generally risen.
Wall Street is transforming bitcoin trading with new financial products, including spot bitcoin ETFs and options, enhancing liquidity and allowing for leveraged bets. The U.S. spot bitcoin funds have amassed over $100 billion, with record inflows following interest rate cuts. As trading activity surges, investor confidence in bitcoin's long-term growth potential is evident, despite the market's inherent volatility.
Options traders are unwinding bullish positions in US stocks due to concerns over slower interest-rate cuts, which have stalled the stock rally. Notably, puts on the Cboe Volatility Index were purchased, anticipating reduced volatility as uncertainty from the presidential election diminished. These puts were profitable when the VIX fell below 14, despite initial drops in option costs.
Nasdaq Inc. and Cboe Global Markets Inc. have filed a legal challenge against a new rule from the US Securities and Exchange Commission that alters the economic framework for stock trading. The exchanges are seeking a review of the finalized national market structure regulation, known as Reg-NMS, through a petition submitted to a Washington appeals court.
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